Methods of determining the O-D matrix in the absence of data surveys
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3846/enviro.2026.2313Abstract
Public transport is like a living organism that is constantly changing along with the city and the needs of its residents. Based on the changes in the city, its infrastructure or the habits of its residents, the public transport system must also change. One of the main tools for understanding the public transport in urban areas is passenger origindestination (OD) matrices. OD matrices are compiled based on mass population surveys, during which the city is divided into zones, and the collected data is used to create travel patterns. Such studies implementation is expensive and repeated infrequently – usually every few or even ten years. Currently, on-board computers collect a significant amount of data about daily citizens’ trips, but the main problem is that this data is not enough to create an O-D matrix, because only boarding data is recorded. The second largest city in Lithuania was chosen for the study due to the abundance of data collected. The aim of this study is to develop a methodology based only on boarding data, allowing to reflect the passenger origin-destination matrix. Two methods were later tested during the study: the first, matching sequential entries based on that the same anonymised card identifier, and the second, the time that the passenger gets off at the stop where they get back on. The results of these methods are analyzed and evaluated at the stop and zone level.
Keywords:
public transport, original-destination matrix, passengers’ habits, public transport modellingHow to Cite
Ait-Ali, A., & Eliasson, J. (2022). The value of additional data for public transport origin–destination matrix estimation. Public Transport, 14, 419–439. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12469-021-00282-0
Alsger, A., Assemi, B., Mesbah, M., & Ferreira, L. (2019). Validating and improving methods for estimating transit passenger destination locations using smart card fare data. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 104, 180–198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2019.05.003
Dong, N., Li, T., Liu, T., Tu, R., Lin, F., Liu, H., & Bo, Y. (2024). A method for short-term passenger flow prediction in urban rail transit based on deep learning. Multimedia Tools and Applications, 83(22), 61621–61643. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11042-023-14388-z
Fabre, L., Bayart, C., Kone, Y., Manout, O., & Bonnel, P. (2025). A machine learning approach to estimate public transport ridership using Wi-Fi data. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 26(1), 906–915. https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2024.3485802
Gordon, J. B., Koutsopoulos, H. N., Wilson, N. H. M., & Attanucci, J. (2018). Automated inference of transit passenger journeys using fare transaction and vehicle location data. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 96, 289–307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2018.09.012
Mohammed, M., & Oke, J. (2023). Origin-destination inference in public transportation systems: A comprehensive review. International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology, 12(1), 315–328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijtst.2022.03.002
Nassir, N., Khani, A., & Hickman, M. (2021). Trip chaining and destination inference in automated fare collection systems. Transportation Research Record, 2675(9), 1–12.
Pelletier, M.-P., Trépanier, M., & Morency, C. (2011). Smart card data use in public transport: A literature review. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 19(4), 557–568. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2010.12.003
Radfar, S., Koosha, H., Gholami, A., & Amindoust, A. (2025). Improved public transport OD matrix estimation using an enhanced trip chain model with smart card data. International Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems Research, 23, 1341–1356. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13177-025-00513-9
Tang, T., Mao, J., Liu, R., Liu, Z., Wang, Y., & Huang, D. (2024). Origin-destination matrix prediction in public transport networks: Incorporating heterogeneous direct and transfer trips. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 25(12), 19889–19903. https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2024.3447611
Wang, H., Chen, C., Ma, J., & Wang, Y. (2022). Inferring public transport origin–destination matrices from smart card data with limited information. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 135, Article 103512.
Zhao, D., Mihăiţă, A. S., Ou, Y., Grzybowska, H., & Li, M. (2024). Origin-destination matrix estimation for public transport: A multi-modal weighted graph approach. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 165, Article 104694. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2024.104694
Downloads
Published
Conference Event
Section
Copyright
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
Nordic Geodetic Commission
International Federation of Surveyors
European Sustainable Energy Innovation Alliance
New European Bauhaus Academy
The Lithuanian Roads Association
Lithuanian Water Suppliers Association
Bentley
AB "Kauno tiltai"
UAB "Kerista"
UAB "Danfoss"
UAB "EMP recycling"
UAB "ACO Lietuva"
UAB "Arginta"
UAB "Skadec LT"
UAB "GPS partneris"
UAB "Hnit-Baltic"
AB "Eurovia Lietuva"
VšĮ "RV Agentūra"
UAB "GeoNovus"